Wednesday, 31 July 2013

Stadium Fantasy Preview

The Big Game: Collingwood v Essendon


introducing stadium fantasy sport, afl fantasy sport, stadiumsport.com

Stadium Fantasy Sport! This is a game which has only been brought out for the beginning of 2013. Already I have grabbed a cool $600 from a win earlier in the year and to be completely honest, if you want to win money in the Fantasy caper, this game is your best bet! It plans to branch out into other codes later down the track, so go on and check it out! Stadium has a unique scoring system which is best explained as Supercoach type scoring without the 3300 cap. If you're like me, and like everything about Supercoach bar that cap, then this is your game from a scoring sense. They create a game for each match in the home and away season, and you can either enter into the free game (with a chance to pocket $100 to $600 depending on the game) or the betting side of it where you go against your mates and places a wager with winner taking all! Without further ado, I'll give you a lowdown on the best paying game of the week!

Collingwood v Essendon
(Melbourne Cricket Ground, Sunday)

Predictions?

This is extremely important when deciding where you will pick the nucleus of your squad from! Who'll win, does not simply mean who'll win, but more to the point who'll have the greater amount of fantasy points. Data shows that the team on the winning side of things, almost exclusively has a higher, on average, points per player, than the opposing side. This is certainly a tough game to predict. Bookies have the Pies favourites, but given the Dons have only had one poor game of recent times, against a premiership contender, I tend to think they should be favoured for this one. Collingwood's form has been far more sketchier, and they're one of the few sides who've had difficulty putting away the Giants. The other item worth noting is the fact that the Bomber's won their Round 5 clash by 40+ points! That being said, it should be a tight and tough contest, and thus a big fantasy difference between the two sides is unlikely to occur.


Players...

Backs

  • Goddard- just keeps on keeping on. Scores between 100 to 190, depending on the day. I think given the lack of tags and lack of general pressure the Pies have put on recently, Brendon might just be ready for one of those 190 type games.
  • Shaw- had a 203 on them last time around. Been in fantastic form recently and rises to the occasion. Has been left without a tag recently, so decide on whether you think a tag is likely before buying.
  • Hibberd- just like Shaw, had a mega score on the Pies of 160-odd first time round. Michael has also been in awesome form, and has the game to produce high Stadium numbers. Might be a touch unique as well, but should certainly be worthwhile!

Mids
  • Swan- Dane has a ridiculous recent record against Essendon, by far his best against any side in the competition. He has averaged over 40 possessions on them in his last 5 matches. Finds it harder to score Stadium points due to his outside game, but if he gets around the 40 mark again, a score of 200+ will not be a surprise.
  • Pendleburry- Star, and if you have the cash don't think twice. One of the best Stadium scorers, Scott regularly gets 200+. Expect a big one this week after a couple of quite ones, had a 162 on them last time round.
Rucks
  • Grundy- although he made his debut just last week, Brodie looks one of the very few nailed on picks for this week. Given his rookie price, he provides the best value within this game. If he can score 50, let alone the 109 he delivered last week. It'll be a win!
Forwards

  • Cloke- Travis will be up against Carlisle, a man that he was well beaten by in their previous clash. I sense that Jake has found the going a bit tougher since he's been used in the swing-man role. Trav is a fifty fifty call, but after Jake had no answer for Buddy, Travis is not the opponent you want next. Expect a big day!
  • Daniher- although Joe was well beaten last week. He still has extreme value, and given we want to field a side of stars, finding players with value is important. Has averaged 75, even with last weeks paltry score. If he can score a 75 type, he'll be worth it, but it does depend on your sides structure.
  • Ryder- made his name as a ruckmen a few years back in an ANZAC Day clash. He has been given more of a ruck role, with Bellchambers proving a more than useful forward target. When he's on, big scores occur, so it's a risk worth taking!

Captaincy Options


  • Goddard- suited to this scoring format and given the opposition's inability to defy the opposing teams stars, expect Goddard to run amok
  • Swan- as the points before predicate, Dane loves a match against the red and black. Had a big week last week and it seems as though Hird has no answer for him. Will want to prove his naysayers wrong in a big game as well!
  • Pendleburry- can't really go wrong with Scott. Has been down in his last couple, but when he has a big game, you'd better have him captain! Toss the coin!


Anyway some food for thought when going for the big prize this weekend! $600 on offer for 1st, $300 for 2nd and even a $100 for third. If you nail it, you'll be ecstatic all weekend! Sign up is easy, so enjoy the game, just leave the big prize for me!

Thanks for reading everyone! Do you guys agree with this consensus? Comment below! If you guys enjoyed the post like our page HERE and follow me on twitter HERE! Once again thank you fantasy fellows, good luck for Round 19!

Monday, 29 July 2013

EPL Analysis: Double Gameweek Time

Can Chelsea bring us home the big early points?












So it's been confirmed. The news all fantasy coaches were hoping for! Aston Villa and Chelsea have doubled up in the opening week. This means that instead of you receiving just one allocation of points from their first 90 minute game, you'll instead receive points from 180 potential minutes worth of game time! Wow! In this analysis I'll go through all the potential picks from these two sides. 

Strategy

Although the simple method would be to load up with as much coverage as possible from these two sides, I'd ask that you proceed with caution. In GW3, no Villa or Chelsea players will in fact play. This means that you could be devastated by big dollars sitting on your bench, not to mention potential zeroes, which would completely wreck your score for that week! Thus look to move your Villa and Chelsea acquisitions out in the GW2/GW3 transfer periods. You must still get players from these two sides, but I wouldn't suggest anymore than 4. 

Aston Villa
(v Arsenal & Chelsea)

The two fixtures that Aston Villa have are far from strong. Two top 4 contenders, it's not hard to see Villa being well beaten in both of these. This is why I suggest looking for attacking options rather than defensive ones. Although they have 2 matches in one Gameweek, the defenders could potentially be pulling up negative scores. 

•Benteke (9.0)

Scored against Chelsea last season. Been in good preseason form, scoring a hat trick recently against Crewe, and was one of the best fantasy players from last season. Comes at a price this time around, but still value when you consider what he produced last year and the double up early. 

•Weimann (6.0)

Demanded a place in the starting 11 towards the back end producing a brilliant run of form. Unique as they come, Andreas produced against strong sides as well as weak, producing a double against Man U, as well as scoring against Arsenal and Liverpool. Started the last 13 matches of the season and begun to produce once his role was established. Extreme value and could well repeat his heroics on either of these sides. Has already bagged two this preseason!


Chelsea
(v Aston Villa & Hull City)

That double is as tempting as they come. A big score should be on for most in the squad. There's potential for two clean sheets and a lot of goals. Investment looks a good idea. Just keep in mind that Chelsea are up against champions Manchester United in GW 2, which will be a difficult fixture, especially from a defensive point of view. With that in mind, still proceed with a level of caution.

•Mata (10.5)

Potential negative with Juan is that his national side have a match in Ecuador, only a few days before Chelsea's first match. Mourinho has already stated that he'll be 'very cautious' with players in this position. If not picked by Spain, which is a significant possibility given the quality of opponent, Juan could well be set to deliver in spades!

•Hazard (9.5)

Eden is one of the most picked players in the competition, and with good reason. He produced a double figure score in the opening double last season, and more to the point, started on fire! He's been in solid preseason form, and looks a viable captain option this week and throughout the season. 

•Cole (6.5)

Ashley has been around for many years. He's always a chance to produce a goal or assist, and given the strength of the back line, he's always a chance for a clean sheet as well. Had 2 goals and 2 assists last season, but that's down on his usual output. Ivanovic and Azpilicueta are also good options, but their job security is more shaky at this stage.

•Lukaku (8.0)

This selection depends a lot on the transfer period. Lukaku was dominant last season at West Brom, and if Jose can't find a better striking option, Lukaku will be starting. Jose has said that Romelu has the ability 'to lead the line'. So at this stage he is a wait and see proposition, but he certainly has the potential to devastate both defensive opponents in the opening fixtures.


Anyway please join the FPL Dreamers FB Page HERE, where we will discuss everything regarding fantasy football! Thanks for reading!

Thursday, 25 July 2013

The Teams Round 18 (From a Fantasy Perspective)

Obviously all fantasy players aren't relevant. Or are they?
If you aren't aware Stadium Fantasy Sport has made nearly every fantasy player relevant this year, with fantastic giveaways each and every match! The prizes on offer are fantastic for very little effort indeed. Anyway hope you enjoy as I provide the teams with a fantasy spin!

The Teams

Matty B is back for some fantasy action












Essendon
IN: H.Hocking, B.Howlett, D.Zaharakis, T.Pears, J.Daniher
OUT: N.Lovett-Murray, N.O'Brien, S.Crameri (ankle), J.Merrett, D.Fletcher (back)

A few big names in, a few big names out for the Dons. Daniher finally gets another game, and will be a good option in Stadium at his rookie price. Zaha and Howlett may both wear the vest at some stage during the night given their lack of match fitness at the moment. Crameri and Dustin are big losses for the Dons, which certainly offset the big inclusions.

Hawthorn
IN:  S.Mitchell, L.Franklin
OUT:  K.Cheney, W.Langford

Two very big inclusions for the Hawks. Buddy has terrorised the Dons in the past, and might be a sneaky captaincy option in Stadium!

Gold Coast
IN: C.Dixon
OUT: J. Hall

Hall was in good form, but sadly was dropped for Dixon, who is currently higher up the pecking order. Expect a slow start from Charlie as he begins to find his feet again.

Carlton
IN: M.Robinson, J.Bootsma
OUT: J.Cachia, A.McInnes (groin)

Robbo back is the main name of note. Smashed the VFL match last week, racking up 33 touches. Might be a good option in Stadium, as he can produce when he is up and running!

Melbourne
IN: C.Pederson
OUT: C.Garland (ankle)

Not much to analyse here. Losing Garland is a big loss, and if anything will make the Dees defence even more incompetent.

North Melbourne
IN: C.Delaney
OUT: S.McMahon

McMahon continues to get dropped through this form slump. Delaney gets his chance, but he isn't relevant in any fantasy competition.

Collingwood
IN: H.O'Brien, N.Brown, J.Blair. B.Grundy
OUT: A.Krakouer, B.Hudson (calf), P.Seedsman (calf), C.Mooney

Harry O is finally back! Grundy gets his first game, and should be locked in peoples Stadium sides as the only solid rookie option. Might get a few matches as well, considering Hudson has suffered the classic old man's injury. All like for like replacement, with the major loss being Seedsman's fantastic run from the wing.

GWS
IN: T.Scully, A.Kennedy
OUT: G.Ugle, L.Whitfield

Scully back is a huge inclusion. Has had severely underrated form considering the role he is performing. Keep on your Stadium radars!

Geelong
IN: S.Johnson, T.Hunt, N.Vardy, M.Brown, G.Horlin-Smith
OUT: J.Bartel (suspension), J.Hunt (shin), J.Stringer (knee), J.Murdoch, M.Blicavs (rested)

The Blics finally gets a rest, having produced very well throughout the season. SJ is obviously the main inclusion, but he does find the Saints a difficult opponent. Vardy may well shine in this game, has all the ability just needs to get lucky with the body. Solid Stadium choice! 

St Kilda
IN: J.Geary, A.Siposs
OUT: T.Dennis-Lane, R.Stanley

Not much to report from these changes. Based on form, although Geary has fantasy ability so he is another potentially unique selection that could send you on your way to some cash in the Stadium platform.

Fremantle
IN: A.Sandilands, N.Suban, M.Taberner
OUT: A.Silvagni, J.Hannath, T.Sheridan

Sandi back, although needs a few more weeks to find his feet so I'd avoid. Taberner comes in, and will play the tall forward role that Silvagni played the week before.

Adelaide
IN: S.McKernan, K.Hartigan
OUT: B.Rutten (shoulder), M.Grigg

Grigg straight out, but another debutant in. I must admit to not knowing much about Hartigan, so watch closely.



The Sunday Teams

Port Adelaide
IN: K.Cornes, D.Cassisi, M.Thomas, N.Blee, J.Hombsch
OUT: T.Jonas (suspension), J.Neade (rested)

Kane and Dom are major inclusions this week. Expect Kane to continue on in his spectacular ways. An outside chance for the captaincy in Stadium this week!

Brisbane
IN: M.Golby, B.Moloney, J.Brown, J.Crisp
OUT: P.Hanley

Very big ins for the Lions. Note that the Moloney inclusion could well mean the end for Rockliff's 100% midfield role. Golby is the like for like replacement for Hanley. The side has strengthen nonetheless, expect a strong performance at AAMI from the Lions.

Western Bulldogs
IN: M.Boyd, M.Austin, C.Howard, J.Stringer, T.Young
OUT: B.Goodes (arm), N.Hrovat (soreness)

Goodes is the major loss from the weekend. Boyd is the big fantasy inclusion of the week and expect him to hit the ground running. solid choice for your Stadium captain as well this week. Otherwise watch for finalized teams.

West Coast
IN: S.Butler, A.Hams, M.Rosa, S.Selwood, B.Sheppard, S.Lycett, B.Wilson, F.McInnes
OUT: D.Glass (soreness), A.Selwood, M.LeCras (foot), N.Naitanui (soreness), L.Shuey (hamstring)

A mass of change for the Eagles! Scooter is a big in! The question is what will Cox produce now that Nic Nat is out of the side? Once again check for final teams before making any key decisions for this one.

Sydney
IN: M.Morton, X.Richards, S.Biggs
OUT: None

Not much to say here. Doubt there'll be any changes from the Swans side that dismantled West Coast last week.

Richmond
IN: S.Tuck, L.McGuane, S.Lonergan, D.Astbury
OUT: J.King (hamstring)

King is a major out given the opposition and the role he provides. Tuck might be a good solid unique option if he makes the cut!

Thanks for reading everyone! Do you guys agree with this consensus? Comment below! If you guys enjoyed the post like our page HERE and follow me on twitter HERE! Once again thank you fantasy fellows, good luck for Round 18!

Wednesday, 24 July 2013

EPL Preseason

Liverpool Training Session
Coutinho takes an early shower















The excitement grew with every step towards the G. The Reds supporters, chanted as they walked towards the historic ground, drenched in their scarves and jerseys of this 121 year old club. It was quite easy to get a little carried away, considering we were about to witness the likes of Steven Gerrard, Luis Suarez, Phillippe Coutinho and Kolo Toure do what they do best. The chants grew to a raucous as the players jogged out onto the hallowed turf, turning to clap the stadium of Red supporters. The training slowly begun as the players took part in several drills. The session lasted roughly 90 minutes and the main drill was a mini match, with less than half the pitch used.

Player Analysis

  • Phillippe Coutinho

The noteworthy point from the session, Coutinho didn't train with the main group. It appeared he had a slight issue, but nothing too hazardous, as he still did some solid quick sprints and the like. He stayed out there for about 15 minutes before he went in for an early shower. So don’t be too worried, looks like a bit of management at this stage. Note; reports on the Liverpool twitter page revealed it was a slight calf ailment. 

  • Luis Suarez

Luis was moving well, looked to be in good form. Missed a couple of easy shots in the mini match, but otherwise looked the goods. Very, very doubtful he'll remain a Red, but depending on where he ends up, he could still be extremely relevant this season!

  • Kolo Toure

    Looked like he had already been well and truly welcomed into the squad. Was moving well, and could well play a part in the season ahead, given the depth in the defence is far from strong.

  • Simon Mignolet

    Mignolet made a couple of strong saves during the mini match. An extremely important factor for a goalkeeper is confidence, and Simon seemed to have it in spades. Given Reina's departure, he is now well and truly number 1, so he must be considered.

  • Iago Aspas

    Iago had some incredible touches in the mini match. Will be someone who can do the inspiring, if yesterdays session was anything to go by. If he leads the line in Gameweek 1, he'll be very hard to leave out of any fantasy football side.


    Thanks for reading. Hope you all enjoy the match tonight, should be a cracker! 

Tuesday, 23 July 2013

The Unique Men

Ricky Henderson
Less than 1.5% of Fantasy sides in
all comps are enjoying this star
!
By the Stats...
Stadium Fantasy Sport - 114ppg, $655,000, High (215.5), Low (25.5), Last 5- 134.2
AFL DT- 78.36ppg, $391,000, High (133), Low (13), Last 5-89.2, Owned by 2.26% 
AFL SC- 99ppg, $419,500, High (160), Low (16), Last 5-93.6, Owned by 1.18%

Position: (Def/Fwd)







Well a pick like this would certainly be as left field as it gets. Ricky Henderson, pick 10 in the 2009 Rookie Draft, previously played basketball before making a late run at football. He's always been a work in progress, but now at the age of 24, and with 65 games of AFL football behind him, Henderson is starting to perform at a level which not many suspected he could. He begun the season in his usual steady form, not setting the world on fire and being a bottom end type player of the 22. He was then injured in the Round 5 match against the Blues and finally battled his way back into senior contention by Round 11. Since the bye, Ricky has been played in a role off half back, rebounding as he plays on the oppositions third tall forward. Similar to the role that recently retired Graham Johncock use to play at stages. Since this positional move, his scores have increased dramatically (AFL DT/AFL SC);

105/101 v Gold Coast
89/85 v West Coast
106/106 v Collingwood 
133/160 v Geelong

Average: 108.25/113

That is a big average indeed. If he kept pulling out those numbers, he'd rival the likes of Goddard and Stevie J as best for their respective positions. In all likelihood, an average of 95~/100~ will be a much greater expected average from here on in. These numbers are still massive for their positions! When you take out the subbed scores of 38 v Carlton (injured) and 13 v Richmond, his overall average for the season becomes 90/93. These are fantastic numbers, and prove that with Ricky's reasonably low price at this moment, he shows tremendous value. His run home is as follows;

Freo @ Patterson's
Port Adelaide @ AAMI
North Melbourne @AAMI
Western Bulldogs @ Etihad
Melbourne @ AAMI 
West Coast @ Patterson's

This is not a fantastic run by any means, but nor is it dreadful, thus don't be too concerned by it. The issue with Henderson is not so much the opposition (because he has produced well on both quality and poor sides), but more so whether he can keep the form that he has displayed over the last 4 weeks. This is certainly a risky selection, but the dividends could be massive. When you factor in that he is averaging 90+ numbers in both major fantasy competitions, if you discount the subbed affairs, you should be able to back Ricky with a fair amount of confidence. With a new role, extremely good form and Adelaide still pushing for finals, I think Ricky could be a fantastic option for the rest of the season!


Thanks for reading everyone! Do you guys agree with this consensus, that Ricky could be a great choice in any format of fantasy football? Comment below! If you guys enjoyed the post like our page HERE and follow me on twitter HERE! Once again thank you fantasy fellows, good luck for the round ahead!

Monday, 22 July 2013

Looking to the Future

Geelong, Gold Coast Correlation and Expectations
The Suns and Cats, may well be quite similar...




















Geelong

In 2007 the Cats became the established premiership contenders that they're today. A well known story among most footy fans, the Cats had an in-house analysis of themselves. The results weren't pretty. From then on they became a force to behold. They clinically dismantled Richmond in that weekends game and went on to win the premiership by the greatest recorded margin. Simple really! But what's this got to do with fantasy? Or Gold Coast for that matter? 

2007 wasn't quite like any year I've been involved in any of the fantasy competitions. That year, due to Geelong's progression as a side, and with so many breakouts occurring within the one year, the fantasy scores from the Cats were never seen before. Having a side with 8+ cats at any stage of that year would've been a side to reckon with. Bartel went from an average of (AFL DT) 98 to 114 (best scorer in the league by some distance), Stevie J 67 to 94, Corey 89 to 104, Mackie 69 to 83, Stokes 77 to 88! In those days especially, these types of averages were all top of the tree! What these scores predicate is that when a side goes from an also run, to a premiership contender, many of their players averages will jump substantially. It can also be thought of the other way around, the players scores are greater and thus the side is a premiership chance. Either way it doesn't really matter. the crux of it is, when you jump from one bracket to the next you'll see improvements in scores.

Gold Coast

As we saw on the weekend, Gold Coast are no longer easy beats. Collingwood were down, but not to the extent that they wouldn't have beaten a lot of sides in the competition. The Suns, led by the great bald man, are beginning to make heads turn. Statistically speaking, break outs occur from seasons 4 to 6 with more regularity than any other band if seasons for a footballer. With that in mind, we must use these types of facts to our benefit. Gold Coast will be entering their 4th season of football in 2014. They've been steadily developing. More importantly, they've got rolled gold stars in their ranks, beginning to gain the needed exposure to the elite level. With this in mind it then becomes a decision of how far you see Gold Coast going in 2014. They're an unknown quantity, expansion teams in the past haven't begun their progression with such faith in draft picks. One thing is perfectly obvious, they're on the improve. This is what me must take from it;


  • Across the board averages should improve as the team does
  • They have the caliber of player in their side to contend for the premiership


What does this all mean?


Obviously I don't have a crystal ball. Predicting the future is what the fantasy game is built on, and what a lot of life is built on, and if we could all do it their wouldn't be too much point to much at all. Loading up on Suns in 2014 will be a risky strategy, because you'll need improvement. But to win prizes, people who're risk adverse are unlikely to be in contention. Personally, with the addition of a previous AA player in Nathan Bock and the much publicized O'Meara v2.0 in Jack Martin, I think this group can go very far indeed. In 2014, I think they can contend for the top 4, with a view to winning the premiership in 2015. Thus, I'll be looking to start as many Suns as feasibly possible in 2014. A few names to consider for 2014 off the top of my head include;  Bennell, Dixon, Matera, Prestia, Swallow, Ablett, Martin and I'm certain a couple more will prove themselves before Round 1. Anyway it's a wait and see proposition at this stage. Gold Coast are on the up, so just make sure you have a lot of GC cover for when they take the next step! 

Anyway hope you all enjoyed, would love a like on our FB page HERE or a follow on Twitter HERE if you get a chance. Thanks for reading! Good luck for this week of fantasy football!

Saturday, 20 July 2013

The Unique Men

Brad Ebert
Just Look at those Numbers!
By The Stats...
Stadium Fantasy Sport - 112.6ppg, $728,300, High (190.5), Low (79.5), Last 5- 137.9
AFL DT- 102.53ppg, $532,900, High (137), Low (72), Last 5-118.2, Owned by 2.68%, Break 
AFL SC- 99ppg, $531,400, High (130), Low (69), Last 5-11.2, Owned by 0.84%, Break 
AFL Sportal- 122.73ppg, $474,100, High (159), Low (96), Last 5-139.4, Owned by 1.79%





Brad Ebert, pick 13 in the 2007 draft, landed himself at West Coast. The son of Craig Ebert, a former Port Adelaide Star, Brad soon sort a trade, packed his bags and was back in his families much loved colours. At 23, Ebert is beginning to hit his prime as a footballer. A hard running midfielder who can win the ball both inside and out, Ebert has established himself as a leader of the much improved port midfield. After an astonishing debut season with the Power which saw him average 26.4 disposals, Brad has begun to go past last seasons outstanding form!

One thing that a selection like this immediately grabs is uniqueness. Owned by a ridiculously low amounts of teams in all competitions, if this pick goes boom, your ranking will as well! Now Ebert is someone who has disposal efficiency issues, so I wouldn't recommend him for a pick in Supercoach. Anyway his numbers over the past five weeks (post bye) have been nothing short of outstanding! Take a look at this (DT/Stadium);

118/163 v GWS
114/105 v Sydney
137/190 v Pies
135/129 v Essendon
87/100 v Hawks

These numbers are phenomenal, totaling out to a 118.2/137.9 average! Those are premium numbers anyway you look at it! Especially when you take into account this article, which shows that sides such as Collingwood and Essendon are rated among the hardest to score against! The other things to note with Ebert is that he will always avoid the tag. In a midfield that hosts Boak and Hartlett, having a potentially ineffective Ebert running around loose doesn't worry the opposing coaches too much. This is vital when deciding whether or not Ebert is a good pick up. The other factor to consider is Port Adelaide's mouth watering draw to home;

Brisbane @ AAMI
Adelaide @ AAMI
Geelong @ Simmonds
GC @ AAMI
Fremantle @ Pattersons
Carlton @ AAMI 

That is a very nice draw indeed! There are 2 difficult matches, but given the type of player Ebert is, he could score just as well on them as any of the others. With this considered, four home matches and two away, the draw gives him a solid base to continue on with his mid 110's! He is certainly pricey at this stage, but if you have the money, or want to sideways an under performer, Ebert is the man. Consistent, durable, breaking out and with a handy run of fixtures, I think Ebert can continue his 115+/135+ type scoring and provided an Über premium in the middle of the park, with an Über uniqueness to go with it! Can't wait to see how he goes tonight!


Thanks for reading everyone! Do you guys agree with this consensus? Comment below! If you guys enjoyed the post like our page HERE and follow me on twitter HERE! Once again thank you fantasy fellows, good luck for the round ahead!