Tuesday, 16 July 2013

Fantasy Analysis

A Team Full of Stars? What to do now?
AFL Fantasy across all competitions has changed in 2013. No longer do we have to conserve trades as greatly (or at all in AFL DT), and with most teams having 22 guns on the field now, the question is what can we now do with our squads?
How can you make a side like this any better?


























Having played EPL Fantasy for a number of years, we can actually take a leaf out of that fantasy game and transfer it to ours. EPL Fantasy focuses largely on building a side which creates profit (like ours) and then finding players with strong runs (ex; playing low quality sides in succession over a period, the longer the better). After making sure that you have strong fantasy cover on all 4 benches (to bypass a potential late out that leads to the dreaded donut), we need to focus on strong end of season runs, or even strong runs for the next 3 to 4 weeks. Finding a unique gem who can step it up from a 100 average to 120, even over a 4 game period might be the difference between earning a double chance in your cut throat league or  getting knocked out first week of finals. So with these points in mind, I'll produce the teams with the best and worst draws so we can take into consideration these details when we make the sideways trades that attempt to get a leg up on the opposition!

Brisbane's Draw;
Melbourne
PA
STK
Richmond
GWS
Bulldogs
Geelong

The Lions have the best draw from here on! There are at least 4 sides which the Lions should beat, and more to the point, these games will have the fantasy points flowing through. Getting on any Lions player from here on should be considered. Expect a Hanley-type to jump back up to a 95+ average, but finding a smoky from the Lions might be the big difference!

Fremantle;
Richmond
Adelaide
Carlton
GWS
Melbourne
PA 
STK

In all honesty, the Dockers should easily account for all these sides. They're beginning to wind up for the finals, and as such they won't take any of these games easily. Especially when you consider a top 4 position is on offer. Stock up on your Dockers, especially for the last 4 weeks of the season. Guys like Mundy, Fyfe and Barlow can all average 110+ from here. Jump on!

Other sides such as the Dees, Port Adelaide and StKilda have strong draws and might be worth considering!

North Melbourne;
Carlton
Melbourne
Geelong
Adelaide
Essendon
Hawks
Collingwood

Looking at this fixture list, one thing becomes clear. Don't get on a Roo. More to the point, if you have any trade them out. Given we now know North are unlikely to make the finals, restings and early surgeries will also occur. The draw is horrendous with only one strong fixture from here on. Jump ship now!

Adelaide;
Geelong
Fremantle
PA
North
Bulldogs
Melbourne
West Coast

Looking at that fixture it certainly isn't the worst going around. My issue is that once again, the Crows will not be making the finals this year and it seems like a good idea to put the senior crew in for early surgeries and the like. I wouldn't look to bring in any Crows at this stage, and if you have a couple, proceed with caution. Obviously there are 2 very good games in the last 3, so if you're a risk taker, bringing someone in for the last 3 may be an option.

It's also worth noting who are the easy sides to score and who are the harder sides. This Table sums up (from easiest to hardest), who is the hardest side to score against!

Points Conceded on Average, from Highest to Lowest
1st- Melbourne
2nd- GWS
3rd- Bulldogs
4th- Lions
5th- Gold Coast
6th- St Kilda
7th- Sydney
8th- Geelong
9th- Fremantle
10th- Adelaide
11th- Port Adelaide
12th- Hawthon
13th- Richmond
14th- West Coast
15th- Essendon
16th- Collingwood
17th- Carlton
18th- North

That's worth saving that information. Many surprises, none more so than North being the toughest to score against! Anyway read through that table!

Thanks To Joseph Looby from AFL Dreamers, who provided some fantastic research on this topic such as the fantastic table above and Chad Leverington a Fantasy and Port Adelaide Fanatic for  providing a picture of his team of stars!

Thanks for reading everyone! Do you guys agree with this consensus? Comment below! If you guys enjoyed the post like our page HERE and follow me on twitter HERE! Once again thank you fantasy fellows, good luck for Round 16!